LSD microdosing experiment: pair 5: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-11-26; known on 2012-11-27; judged right by gwern on 2012-11-26.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-11-26
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-26.
• gwern changed their prediction from “LSD microdosing experiment: pair 4: placebo then active?” on 2012-12-17
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-11-26” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

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