men will continue to forget about valentine's day

Created by vivaladam on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • vivaladam estimated 99% on 2010-02-10
  • I_am_not_real. estimated 99% and said “If read as “some men…” the certainty is near 100%. If “all men…” then near 0%.on 2010-02-11
  • gwern estimated 100% and said “knew a man who forgot about it, which satisfies the implicit ‘some’.on 2010-07-29
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.

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