Assad will remain in power in Syria until end of 2012.

Created by fiftytwo on 2012-12-04; known on 2012-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-31.

• fiftytwo estimated 90% on 2012-12-04
• ChristianKl estimated 95% on 2012-12-04
• ygert estimated 90% on 2012-12-16
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-31.