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LSD microdosing experiment: pair 6: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-12-05; known on 2012-12-06; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-05.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2012-12-05
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-05.
  • gwern changed their prediction from “LSD microdosing experiment: pair 4: placebo then active?” on 2012-12-17
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-05” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16