If Australia win the Ashes back, Ricky ponting will retire from all forms of the game.
- d403 estimated 89% on 2010-02-28
- gwern estimated 30% on 2010-07-31
- gwern estimated 70% and said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ashes says England won the ashes, so no opportunity for it to be tested and marking right” on 2011-02-09
- gwern said “(fixing my prediction since I’ve changed my interpretation of these conditional predictions)” on 2011-02-09
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2011-02-09.
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