PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

The Winter 2012 Singularity Institute fundraiser will max out its dollar-matching quota.

Created by DaFranker on 2012-12-06; known on 2013-01-05; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-26.

  • DaFranker estimated 30% on 2012-12-06
  • gwern said “total, $143,048.84; was doubled from matching funds, so 70k was donated. marking wrongon 2013-01-26
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-26.