Cannabis will be legalised within Australia by 2012

Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.

• d403 estimated 90% on 2010-02-28
• cointelligence estimated 15% on 2010-03-01
• Danni   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-03-17.
• Danni   judged this prediction unknown on 2010-03-28.
• Danni   judged this prediction unknown on 2010-03-28.
• gimpf estimated 40% on 2010-12-12
• Larks estimated 15% on 2011-01-01
• Ben Doherty estimated 1% on 2011-04-25
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 1% on 2011-04-26
• Ken estimated 0% on 2011-09-12
• gwern said “still illegal https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cannabis_in_Australia” on 2012-01-02
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-02.