US election will be Bush v. Clinton

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-06-25; known on 2016-08-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-07-20.

• JoshuaZ estimated 30% on 2015-06-25
• JoshuaZ said “https://voat.co/v/politics/comments/166464/460495 $15 bet with Spacehuman” on 2015-06-25
• JoshuaZ said “Note prediction for Bush: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/115449” on 2015-06-25
• JoshuaZ said “And I almost dutch-booked myself. Just remembered that there’s this already listed http://predictionbook.com/predictions/9551 where I said 33%. ” on 2015-06-25
• David estimated 35% on 2015-07-03
• RandomThinker said “Hey I made this prediction 4 years ago. Glad you found it JoshuaZ! ” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker said “I love this comment back then: "estimated 1% and said “This is a wildly privileged hypothesis… Even if they both ran, (Hasn’t Hillary said she doesn’t want to?) the chance of them both winning their parties nominations would be pretty small.”” on 2015-07-05
• NathanMcKnight estimated 12% on 2015-08-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 21% and said “Updating on Bush’s poor showing so far. ” on 2015-10-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-06-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-06-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-06-11
• ioannes estimated 0% on 2016-06-23
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-20.