Dogs will win the AFL flag this year
- mktg2010 estimated 85% on 2010-03-14
- mktg2010 changed the deadline from “on 2010-09-16” on 2010-09-16
- gwern said “collingwood-kilda draw: https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Afl_grand_final#2010_onwards not a dog win” on 2010-09-26
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2010-09-26.
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