Ellen Pao will no longer be CEO of Reddit by September 1, 2015

Created by RandomThinker on 2015-07-09; known on 2015-09-01; judged right by gwern on 2015-07-10.

• RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2015-07-09
• RandomThinker said “Less likely than you think, even though it’s chaos there.” on 2015-07-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-07-09
• Afforess estimated 10% on 2015-07-09
• EloiseRosen estimated 30% on 2015-07-09
• InquilineKea estimated 45% on 2015-07-10
• Afforess   judged this prediction right on 2015-07-10.
• Afforess said “Ellen Pao is gone: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/11/technology/ellen-pao-reddit-chief-executive-resignation.html?_r=1” on 2015-07-10
• gwern   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-07-10.
• gwern estimated 15% and said “estimated on IRC previously” on 2015-07-10
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2015-07-10.
• RandomThinker said “kind of a surprise, but then “normal” analysis would say that when hundreds of thousands of users are angry, the CEO is usually sacrificed.” on 2015-07-11