Turkey / NATO war with Syria.

Created by khorporative on 2012-12-10; known on 2013-02-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.

• khorporative estimated 25% on 2012-12-10
• RandomThinker estimated 25% on 2012-12-10
• khorporative estimated 33% on 2012-12-19
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-01.