LSD microdosing experiment: pair 7: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-12-11; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-12-11.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-12-11
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-11.
• gwern changed their prediction from “LSD microdosing experiment: pair 5: placebo then active?” on 2012-12-17
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-11” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

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