LSD microdosing experiment: pair 7: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-12-11; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-12-11.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-12-11
• gwern on 2012-12-11
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-11.
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-11” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction