Kevin Rudd will resign in April 2010.

Created by thdurp on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-05-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.

• thdurp estimated 1% on 2010-03-17
• gwern estimated 0% and said “June 2010: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_rudd#Leadership_challenge_and_resignation” on 2010-07-29
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-07-29.