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Tavi is actually JT Leroy's newest incarnation.

Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-18; known on 2011-03-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-03-18.

  • GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide estimated 80% on 2010-03-18
  • gwern estimated 3% and said “Wikipedia says Gevinson has been interviewed and photographed by multiple real world magazines/newspapers. And Albert was convicted for fraud…” on 2010-07-29
  • gwern said “Looking in Google News for last year/month, Tavi still seems quite real and has been filmed even more. in lieu of any actual evidence that Tavi is fake…” on 2011-03-18
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-03-18.