Lady Gaga will dominate the pop music industry for the next 5 years

Created by alicewilson on 2010-03-22; known on 2015-03-22; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2015-03-28.

• alicewilson estimated 70% on 2010-03-22
• kassey estimated 80% on 2010-03-23
• tjross estimated 20% and said “lets hope not!” on 2010-03-23
• MrHen estimated 30% on 2010-03-30
• gwern said “What does dominate mean? By sales? Obviously not, since no one has ever sold more than 50% by themselves. Best selling? She isn’t the only one hitting #1” on 2010-07-29
• alicewilson changed the deadline from “on 2010-01-01” on 2010-08-08
• Osuniev   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-28.