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Mark Webber will crash out Australian F1

Created by thechadisgreat on 2010-03-24; known on 2010-03-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • thechadisgreat estimated 78% on 2010-03-24
  • gwern estimated 50% and said “don’t see any media coverage of a crash, so marking wrong.” on 2010-07-29
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-07-29.