The conservatives will win the next general election in the UK

Created by espore on 2015-08-02; known on 2020-08-04; judged right by HonoreDB on 2018-01-04.

• espore estimated 80% on 2015-08-02
• espore changed the deadline from “on 2015-08-03” on 2015-08-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-08-03
• HonoreDB estimated 40% on 2015-08-04
• HonoreDB estimated 85% and said “Oh snap” on 2017-04-19
• splorridge said “also see https://predictionbook.com/predictions/177170” on 2017-04-20
• splorridge said “For this prediction, does it have to be a majority of MPs or do they just need to form the next government?” on 2017-04-20
• themusicgod1 said “Should be “form government” imho. That’s what ‘win’ means in westminster style democracies.” on 2017-04-20
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2018-01-04.