No human revived from cryonic suspension by 2100.

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-05; known on 2100-01-01

  • btrettel estimated 98% on 2015-08-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-08-06
  • JoshuaZ said “Note for future reference. See http://predictionbook.com/predictions/123283 for 2040. on 2015-08-06
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2015-08-09
  • JoshuaZ estimated 56% on 2020-06-12
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 50% and said “Future cryonic suspension will be better, but so will other medical tech, so only more critical cases will get suspended; most of the probability here is in suspension being used as an experimental technique in some lengthy procedure, or similar.on 2020-06-13
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 60% and said “Oh, wait, “will be better” ≠ “will be good enough”…on 2020-06-13
  • amrav estimated 70% on 2020-06-13
  • Baeboo estimated 80% on 2020-06-13
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 85% and said “Conjunction fallacy. I feel like I’m overestimating a little, now, which should compensate.25 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 53% 25 days ago

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