No human revived from cryonic suspension by 2100.

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-05; known on 2100-01-01

• btrettel estimated 98% on 2015-08-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-08-06
• JoshuaZ said “Note for future reference. See http://predictionbook.com/predictions/123283 for 2040. ” on 2015-08-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2015-08-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 56% on 2020-06-12
• wizzwizz4 estimated 50% and said “Future cryonic suspension will be better, but so will other medical tech, so only more critical cases will get suspended; most of the probability here is in suspension being used as an experimental technique in some lengthy procedure, or similar.” on 2020-06-13
• wizzwizz4 estimated 60% and said “Oh, wait, “will be better” ≠ “will be good enough”…” on 2020-06-13
• amrav estimated 70% on 2020-06-13
• Baeboo estimated 80% on 2020-06-13
• wizzwizz4 estimated 85% and said “Conjunction fallacy. I feel like I’m overestimating a little, now, which should compensate.” on 2020-06-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 53% on 2020-06-19