Shogun Rua will defeat Lyoto Machida at UFC 113
- predicted estimated 70% on 2010-04-21
- kassey estimated 0% on 2010-04-21
- gwern estimated 50% and said “http://www.ufc.com/index.cfm?fa=eventDetail.Home&eid=2947 seems to say Rua won. marking right.” on 2010-07-29
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.
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