Shogun Rua will defeat Lyoto Machida at UFC 113

Created by predicted on 2010-04-21; known on 2010-05-08; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

• predicted estimated 70% on 2010-04-21
• kassey estimated 0% on 2010-04-21
• gwern estimated 50% and said “http://www.ufc.com/index.cfm?fa=eventDetail.Home&eid=2947 seems to say Rua won. marking right.” on 2010-07-29
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.