We will detect evidence of Intelligent alien life within the next 50 years.
Created by drethelin on 2012-12-23; known on 2062-12-23
- drethelin estimated 85% on 2012-12-23
- drethelin on 2012-12-23
- JoshuaZ said “Is this meant to include all such life or just intelligent life? What constitutes evidence? ” on 2012-12-23
- drethelin changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-23” on 2012-12-23
- drethelin said “Intelligent life, evidence such as radio/other signals of nonhuman intelligent origin and content. ” on 2012-12-23
- ChristianKl estimated 20% and said “Could you edited the word intelligent into the question?” on 2012-12-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 5% and said “And second ChristianKI’s request. ” on 2012-12-27
- Emanuel Rylke estimated 2% on 2012-12-27
- gwern said “redundant with http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2803” on 2012-12-27
- Tuxedage estimated 65% on 2012-12-28
- Random8042 estimated 15% on 2012-12-29
- darkdaemon estimated 10% on 2012-12-31
- ewang estimated 4% on 2013-01-05
- NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2013-01-05
- Cy Fleming estimated 2% on 2013-01-15
- nshepperd estimated 0% on 2013-11-14
- themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-10-10