Another beloved celebrity will die before the year is over
- email@example.com estimated 80% on 2010-06-04
- Houshalter estimated 96% on 2010-06-13
- gwern estimated 90% and said “There are so many beloved celebrities… (Also, how can this be known is just 22 days? Shouldn’t it be several months?)” on 2010-07-29
- firstname.lastname@example.org changed the deadline from “on 2010-08-20” on 2010-08-21
- gwern said “http://exiledonline.com/dead-celebrities-2010-a-good-gloat-spoiled/ well, pick your favorite one. might as well mark it right” on 2011-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2011-01-01.
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