Another beloved celebrity will die before the year is over

Created by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04; known on 2010-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2011-01-01.

• maskath@hotmail.com estimated 80% on 2010-06-04
• Houshalter estimated 96% on 2010-06-13
• gwern estimated 90% and said “There are so many beloved celebrities… (Also, how can this be known is just 22 days? Shouldn’t it be several months?)” on 2010-07-29
• maskath@hotmail.com changed the deadline from “on 2010-08-20” on 2010-08-21
• gwern said “http://exiledonline.com/dead-celebrities-2010-a-good-gloat-spoiled/ well, pick your favorite one. might as well mark it right” on 2011-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-01-01.