Donna Tam, news.com: Amazon smartphone in 2013

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-12-27; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-31.

• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2012-12-27
• RandomThinker said “http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-57560580-93/amazon-five-predictions-for-2013/” on 2012-12-27
• Qiaochu estimated 50% on 2012-12-27
• gwern estimated 20% and said “why would they make such a thing?” on 2012-12-27
• dhoe estimated 30% on 2012-12-29
• Grrrr estimated 25% and said “without any rumors (that I know of) that this will happen, it probably won’t” on 2012-12-31
• Tuxedage estimated 17% on 2012-12-31
• hedges estimated 15% on 2013-04-17
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.