I predict Stanley McChrystal will keep his job until at least July 22.
- vhistory estimated 75% on 2010-06-22
- gwern estimated 60% and said “Retirement ceremony was 23 July: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanley_McChrystal#Retirement But was removed from position earlier. Tentatively marking right.” on 2010-07-29
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.
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