Julia Gillard will win the next federal election.

Created by Frank on 2010-06-27; known on 2011-01-16; judged right by Frank on 2010-09-16.

• Frank estimated 70% on 2010-06-27
• gwern estimated 70% and said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julia_Gillard#Election_2010” on 2010-07-31
• Frank   judged this prediction right on 2010-09-16.