No amendments to the United States Constitution will be ratified by 2015.

Created by gwern on 2012-12-31; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 96% on 2012-12-31
• gwern on 2012-12-31
• gwern said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_amendments_to_the_United_States_Constitution#Ratified_amendments” on 2012-12-31
• Tuxedage estimated 98% on 2012-12-31
• smijer estimated 98% on 2012-12-31
• Qiaochu estimated 100% on 2013-01-01
• findis estimated 95% on 2013-01-02
• HonoreDB estimated 99% on 2013-01-03
• ewang estimated 98% on 2013-01-05
• alecbrooks estimated 96% on 2013-01-05
• ChristianKl estimated 96% on 2013-01-07
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2013-01-08
• roxton estimated 97% on 2013-01-11
• Nic_Smith estimated 99% and said “Not enough time.” on 2013-01-12
• iconreforged estimated 80% on 2013-01-14
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.