“By 2025, the states will have voted on at least one constitutional amendment to cede US federal power to a global government.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known in 6 days

• gwern estimated 85% on 2010-07-29
• gwern estimated 90% and said “http://www.longbets.org/156” on 2010-07-29
• themusicgod1 said “does the TPP’s ISDS courts count?” on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-01-15
• Baeboo estimated 60% on 2019-01-16