By 2025, there will be no 28th Amendment to the Constitution of the USA

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2025-01-01

  • gwern estimated 80% on 2010-07-29
  • gwern said “Base this on the general difficulty of any popular amendment, and the demonstrated difficulty of ever ratifying amendments. The last was 1992! And bureaucraticon 2010-07-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 50% on 2011-05-24
  • Grognor estimated 70% on 2011-12-06

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