“In 2108, an independent, sentient artificial intelligence will exist as a corporation, both providing its services as well as making all financial and strategic decisions.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2108-12-31

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-07-29
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/360” on 2010-07-29
• gwern said “My own interpretation of this includes uploads as AI. Basically, non-biological intelligences, whether they started off biology or not.” on 2010-07-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-08-17
• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2011-10-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 94% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-01-15
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2019-01-16
• deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26