LSD microdosing experiment: pair 10: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2013-01-06; known on 2013-01-07; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-06.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2013-01-06
• gwern made the prediction on 2013-01-06
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-06.
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-06” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

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