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LSD microdosing experiment: pair 10: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2013-01-06; known on 2013-01-07; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-06.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2013-01-06
  • gwern made the prediction on 2013-01-06
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-06.
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-06” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16