“The Bet: By 2050, we will receive intelligent signals from outside our solar system.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2050-01-01

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/10” on 2010-07-30
• Grognor estimated 1% on 2011-12-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-06
• Athrithalix estimated 2% on 2018-02-22