“By 2100 a world government will be in place and in control of: business law, environmental law, and weapons of mass destruction.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2100-01-01

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/22” on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “This one will come down to definitions and legal status of multinational organizations like the UN.” on 2010-07-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-01-14