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“By the end of 2012, more than 50% of the root servers on the internet will be located outside the United States.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2012-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-31.

  • gwern estimated 95% on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/26 (apparently already happened)on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “no new dissent on the prediction page, wP says ‘As a result most of the physical root servers are now outside the United States, allowing for high performance worldwide.’ marking right on 2012-12-31
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-31.