“By 2030 all surgical anesthesia will be administered and monitored by computers, with no need for professional medical supervision beyond the surgeon.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2030-01-01

• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/43” on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “Skeptical. Robots/computers have been superior to humans in some respects for decades; look at MYCIN. Things haven’t changed much.” on 2010-07-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% and said “Getting nurses unions to sign off on this is going to be a mess.” on 2016-10-06
• Athrithalix estimated 5% on 2018-02-22
• pranomostro estimated 25% on 2019-01-14