The winner of the 2032 US presidential election will be >60 years old at his inauguration.

Created by gwern on 2013-01-11; known on 2032-11-10

• gwern estimated 30% on 2013-01-11
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Presidents_of_the_United_States_by_age 44 presidents total; >60: 10 (27%); 50-60 (57%): 25; <50: 9 (20%)” on 2013-01-11
• gwern said “ I expect a wider range of older & younger presidents – older from congress incumbencies lengthening & elderly care improving, and younger from the increasing brutality & technological sophistication of Presidential campaigns” on 2013-01-11
• gwern said “see also https://plus.google.com/103530621949492999968/posts/QiC1bwsgtRb” on 2013-01-11
• gwern said “50-60: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14601 <50: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14602” on 2013-01-11
• RandomThinker estimated 25% and said “Twenty years from now is when the Gen Yers will want to take over the presidency. Gen X is a tiny cohort. It’s going to be someone who’s 30 or younger now, not someone who’s 40+ now.” on 2013-01-12
• Tuxedage estimated 32% on 2013-01-12
• Cy Fleming estimated 25% on 2013-01-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 31% on 2013-01-27
• Messias estimated 100% and said “Samuel Aaron Simmons will be elected President of the United States of America on November 2, 2032. ” on 2013-08-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 35% on 2018-12-12