The winner of the 2032 US presidential election will be 50-60 years old at his inauguration.
Created by gwern on 2013-01-11; known on 2032-11-10
- gwern estimated 45% on 2013-01-11
- gwern said “see http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14600 for links & base-rates” on 2013-01-11
- RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2013-01-12
- Tuxedage estimated 40% on 2013-01-12
- JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2013-01-27
- themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-10-10
- pranomostro estimated 50% on 2018-12-08
- Baeboo estimated 45% on 2018-12-12