The winner of the 2032 US presidential election will be <50 years old at his inauguration.

Created by gwern on 2013-01-11; known on 2032-11-10

• gwern estimated 25% on 2013-01-11
• gwern said “see http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14600 for links & base-rates” on 2013-01-11
• RandomThinker estimated 30% on 2013-01-12
• Tuxedage estimated 30% on 2013-01-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 21% on 2013-01-27
• themusicgod1 estimated 11% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 20% on 2018-12-12