“"Brooke Shields will be be a recipeint of the Kennedy Center Honors for her lifetime contributions to American culture through the performing arts, within the next fifteen years."”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/133” on 2010-07-30
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.