“The Long Now Foundation will no longer exist in 2104.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2104-01-01

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/137on 2010-07-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-05-24
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2016-10-07
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2104-01-01” and changed their prediction from ““The Long Bets Foundation will no longer exist in 2104.”” on 2017-05-23

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