“By 2020, 75% of all incremental new generation will come from renewable/sustainable energy in the U.S.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2020-02-09.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/141” on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “If the list had included nukes, then maybe.” on 2010-07-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 10% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electrical_power_generation#Methods_of_generating_electricity” on 2019-01-14
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2019-01-15
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2019-12-31
• pranomostro said “This is wrong.” on 2020-02-09
• pranomostro   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-02-09.