“By the year 2020 the technology will exist that will allow for the “faxing” (teleportation- sending/receiving) of actual inanimate objects, such as text books, clothing, jewelery and the like.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2020-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 1% on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/143on 2010-07-30
  • themusicgod1 estimated 3% and said “there’s 3d printers that’ll allow functionality like this, wouldn’t take much to rig them for clothing/jewelery at this point but…not textbooks.on 2016-10-06
  • Athrithalix estimated 1% on 2018-02-22
  • pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-14
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2019-01-15
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.

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