“I predict that global warming denialists such as MIT professor Richard Lindzen will be shown to be wrong over the next 20 years as global warming continues. Specifically, I believe the scientific consensus that temperatures are likely to increase by .3 d

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-12-31

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/196” on 2010-07-30
• pranomostro estimated 65% on 2019-01-14
• Baeboo estimated 86% on 2019-01-15