“A March 2004 article stated: "More than 3.5 billion years after nature transformed non-living matter into living things, populating Earth with a cornucopia of animals and plants, scientists say they are finally ready to try their hand at creating life.

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2020-12-31

• gwern estimated 90% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/195” on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “IMO, I think this bet is already lost, given Craig Venter’s recent artificial cell.” on 2010-07-30
• pranomostro estimated 80% on 2019-01-14
• pranomostro estimated 60% and said “Unsure about the current state.” on 2019-01-14