“I predict that we will be in a full fledged ice age by 2100. I predict that before that we will see volcanic activity that produces more CO2, irridium, and CH4 than mankind could imagine. We will have massive increases in snowfall and sea level first, fo

Created by gwern on 2010-07-31; known on 2100-01-01

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-07-31
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/218” on 2010-07-31
• NathanMcKnight estimated 0% and said “Because 0.0001% isn’t an option.” on 2011-11-12
• PseudonymousUser said “full prediction continues “…followed by falling sea levels as the glaciers increase.”” on 2011-11-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2011-11-13
• themusicgod1 estimated 10% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-14
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-01-15