“By 2015, standardized tests for high school students in every state of the United States will directly evaluate students' understanding of the differences between scientific laws, scientific theories and the kinds of things often called theories outside

Created by gwern on 2010-07-31; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-07-31
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/223” on 2010-07-31
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.