“An all-new Star Wars film will be released to theatres this century.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-31; known on 2100-01-01; judged right by pranomostro on 2019-01-14.

• gwern estimated 90% on 2010-07-31
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/243” on 2010-07-31
• gwern said “SW is too much of a money cow to let die, and the IP doesn’t expire for a very long time.” on 2010-07-31
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-10-10
• Sniffnoy said “The original long bet was made in 2006, before the release of “Star Wars: The Clone Wars”; it should be considered resolved. I take it, then, that gwern is predicting there will be yet another along the same lines?” on 2011-10-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-14.
• pranomostro said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star_Wars_sequel_trilogy” on 2019-01-14