“Steve Jobs will be nominated for Presdident of the United States, by one of the two major political parties in 2012.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-31; known on 2012-09-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-06.

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-07-31
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/244” on 2010-07-31
• Larks estimated 0% on 2010-09-30
• anonym estimated 0% on 2010-11-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2011-01-21
• Ken estimated 0% on 2011-09-12
• gwern said “inasmuch as Jobs is dead, I’m closing this as wrong. there are probably rules against nominating the undead.” on 2011-10-06
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-06.