“Within a decade Wal-Mart (WMT) shares cease to be listed on the NYSE as a result bankruptcy, being taken over/private, or being delisted by the exchange.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-12-31.

• gwern estimated 1% on 2010-08-01
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/259” on 2010-08-01
• Larks estimated 10% on 2010-09-29
• Ken estimated 1% on 2011-09-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% and said “Hard to imagine who’d buy Walmart. Satoshi?” on 2016-10-07
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-31.