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“Within a decade Wal-Mart (WMT) shares cease to be listed on the NYSE as a result bankruptcy, being taken over/private, or being delisted by the exchange.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-12-31.

  • gwern estimated 1% on 2010-08-01
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/259on 2010-08-01
  • Larks estimated 10% on 2010-09-29
  • Ken estimated 1% on 2011-09-12
  • themusicgod1 estimated 4% and said “Hard to imagine who’d buy Walmart. Satoshi?on 2016-10-07
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-31.