“By the year 2050, there will be at least 1 green autotrophic person on the Earth…”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2050-01-01

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-08-01
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/262” on 2010-08-01
• gwern said “I could see a performance artist doing this.” on 2010-08-01
• Grognor estimated 1% on 2011-12-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 11% on 2012-04-25
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2012-04-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 29% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-01-14