Neither US nor Russian governments will make announcements claiming the existence of sentient aliens this year. http://www.eutimes.net/2013/01/russia-orders-obama-tell-world-about-aliens-or-we-will/

Created by ashrewdmint on 2013-01-27; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by ygert on 2013-12-31.

• ashrewdmint estimated 95% on 2013-01-27
• ashrewdmint changed their prediction from “Neither the US government, nor Russia will make announcements about aliens this year. http://www.eutimes.net/2013/01/russia-orders-obama-tell-world-about-aliens-or-we-will/” on 2013-01-27
• ashrewdmint said “Changed to “sentient aliens” so microbial life won’t count.” on 2013-01-27
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 95% on 2013-01-27
• procran estimated 99% on 2013-01-28
• Peter Hurford estimated 99% on 2013-01-28
• Tuxedage estimated 99% on 2013-01-28
• ygert said “What counts as “about sentient aliens”? If the US or Russian government says something like “We have not found any sentient aliens yet”, does that count?” on 2013-01-29
• Benja estimated 98% on 2013-01-30
• gwern said “second ygert’s question” on 2013-01-31
• DaFranker said “Thirding ygert’s question. ” on 2013-01-31
• ChristianKl estimated 99% on 2013-01-31
• ashrewdmint changed their prediction from “Neither the US government, nor Russia will make announcements about sentient aliens this year. http://www.eutimes.net/2013/01/russia-orders-obama-tell-world-about-aliens-or-we-will/” on 2013-02-01
• ashrewdmint said “Happy, literalists? :)” on 2013-02-01
• ygert estimated 99% and said “Yeah, I’m happy.” on 2013-02-02
• lavalamp estimated 99% on 2013-02-03
• Roxolan estimated 99% on 2013-02-03
• moridinamael estimated 99% on 2013-02-06
• najdorf estimated 99% on 2013-02-06
• dusk estimated 99% on 2013-02-10
• Houshalter estimated 100% on 2013-02-15
• Tuxedage estimated 100% on 2013-02-15
• seifip estimated 99% on 2013-04-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2013-11-16
• ygert   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-31.