“Turkey will join the European Union and become a model for a Democratic Islamic State and lead the way for advancing relations between the Islamic world and “Western World””

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-10.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/312on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “I’m choosing to interpret this solely as ‘Turkey will join the EU’ as the rest is hopelessly vague.on 2010-08-02
  • seifip estimated 80% on 2013-04-14
  • themusicgod1 estimated 5% on 2016-10-07
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-11-10.

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